← Back to overview
Home › The cost of the war

The cost of the war

What the war actually costs Russia — shown plainly, with the arithmetic and a source behind every number. Sanctions pressure began in 2014; the bill ran into the tens of trillions from the 2022 full-scale invasion.

💸
₽57tn $676bn
Direct war spending, 2022 – mid-2026
The math: ₽57tn ÷ ~₽3.7tn/yr (health + education) ≈ 15 years · Janis Kluge, SWP
📆
₽36bn/day $0.43bn
What the war costs every single day
The math: ₽57tn ÷ ~1,587 days (24 Feb 2022 – 30 Jun 2026) ≈ ₽36bn; ÷ ₽27,224 (avg. old-age pension, SFR, Jul 2026) ≈ 1.3m; ÷ ~₽200k/m² (avg. new-build price, CIAN) ≈ 180k m² · Janis Kluge (SWP) · SFR · CIAN
👤
₽390k $4.6k
The war's price per resident
The math: ₽57tn ÷ 146.1m people ≈ ₽390k; ÷ ₽114,743 (avg. wage, Jun 2026) ≈ 3.4; per year: ₽390k ÷ 4.35 yrs ≈ ₽90k ≈ 3.3 × ₽27,224 pension · Rosstat · SFR · Janis Kluge (SWP)
🏗️
~285m m²
What the same money could have built
The math: ₽57tn ÷ ~₽200k/m² (CIAN, Jan 2026: ₽204k) ≈ 285m m²; ÷ 146.1m people ≈ 2 m² each. Rough: price range ₽185–205k/m² depending on source · CIAN · Janis Kluge (SWP)
🪖
₽10.7tn $123bn
War spending in just H1 2026 (a record)
The math: ₽10.7tn military in H1 2026 ≈ about half of all budget spending · аналитики / United24
⚔️
1.5× more
Defence vs people, 2026
war12.1
social10.8
The math: ₽12.1tn defence ÷ ₽10.8tn total social spending ≈ 1.5× · Reuters / Meduza / The Bell
🧊
~$300bn
Frozen reserves, since 2022
The math: ~$300bn of the CBR's ~$640bn pre-war reserves · Brookings / ЦБ РФ
⛽
−95%
The lost EU gas market
2021150
H1 20258
The math: Pipeline gas to the EU: ~150 bcm (2021) → ~8 bcm (H1 2025) · The Moscow Times
🏦
₽3.9tn/yr
Debt servicing now
The math: ₽3.9tn ÷ ₽44tn spending ≈ 8.9% of the budget (~every 11th ruble) · Закон о бюджете 2026 / OSW
📉
₽1.08tn −$13bn
Gazprom's collapse
The math: Gazprom 2024 net loss: ₽1.08tn ($13.1bn); 2023+2024 combined > $20bn · Bloomberg / Kyiv Independent
✈️
~650–800k
The people who left
The math: ~650k (modest) to 800k+ emigrated since 2022; return rate < 8% · The Bell / Wikipedia
⚖️
$588bn
What it costs to rebuild Ukraine
The math: $588bn ÷ $676bn already spent on the war ≈ 87%; direct damage $195.1bn; socioeconomic losses $666.7bn (RDNA5, 23 Feb 2026) · World Bank / UN / EC / Ukraine (RDNA5)
🧾
$4.0k ≈ ₽345k
The same bill, per Russian resident
spent on war4.63
rebuild bill4.02
The math: $588bn ÷ 146.1m ≈ $4,024 (≈ ₽345k at ~₽85.7/$, CBR); direct damage only: $195.1bn ÷ 146.1m ≈ $1,335 (≈ ₽114k); war spending per person: $676bn ÷ 146.1m ≈ $4.6k · World Bank (RDNA5) · Rosstat · CBR
Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
Found an error or have a suggestion to improve the site? Write to us: russiacollapseindex@gmail.com