Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Natural population decline currently reads 650 k/year, mapping to a stress of 58/100 — moderate pressure.
Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).
The value is sourced via official statistics; confidence — medium. How it is derived: Rosstat; deep natural decline.
History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.
| Period | k (natural decline) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | -500 | 0 |
| 2024 | 596.2 | 49 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: Kommersant/Rosstat — 2023 natural decline (birthrate 8.7/1000) · Rosstat — 2024 natural decline 596.2k
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