Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
This is a year-on-year rate of change, not the absolute level — a level can stay high while its change reads as high stress.
Daily grid power consumption (activity proxy) currently reads -1.1 % YoY, mapping to a stress of 37/100 — modest pressure.
Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.9 pts).
The value is sourced via official statistics; confidence — medium. How it is derived: SO-UPS daily consumption — high-frequency proxy of real industrial activity.
| Date | Value | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | -1.1 % YoY | 37 |
| 2026-08-31 | -1 % YoY | 36 |
| Period | bn kWh (UES annual) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1066.3 | — |
| 2023 | 1121.6 | — |
| 2024 | 1174 | — |
| 2025 | 1161.2 | — |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: SO UES annual reports (ups_rep2025.pdf tab.1.1: 2025 1161.2 / 2024 1174.0, YoY -1.1%)