Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Security bloc share of spending currently reads 41 % of spending, mapping to a stress of 84/100 — critical pressure, near the worst end of its calibrated range.
Across the tracked period the stress has risen by 12.0 points.
The value is sourced via official statistics; confidence — medium. How it is derived: Minfin/BOFIT; militarization of the budget.
| Date | Value | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | 41 % of spending | 84 |
| 2026-08-31 | 38 % of spending | 72 |
| Period | ₽ trn (defense spending; +41.9%) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13.1 | 0 |
| 2026 | 35 | 60 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: TAdviser — 2024 defense spending 13.1 trn RUB · DW — 2026 defense+security >1/3 of the budget