Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Confirmed irrecoverable personnel losses currently reads 274 k confirmed (Mediazona/BBC), mapping to a stress of 75/100 — elevated pressure, toward the crisis end of its scale.
Across the tracked period the stress has risen by 15.2 points. Day-over-day: +2.0 pts.
The value is sourced via independent monitoring; confidence — high. How it is derived: Name-by-name confirmed dead per Mediazona+BBC (~239k by Aug 2026) — a lower bound; real losses higher.
| Date | Value | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | 274 k confirmed (Mediazona/BBC) | 75 |
| 2026-10-23 | 268 k confirmed (Mediazona/BBC) | 73 |
| 2026-10-10 | 261.3 k confirmed (Mediazona/BBC) | 70 |
| 2026-09-22 | 244.7 k confirmed (Mediazona/BBC) | 65 |
| 2026-09-12 | 234.6 k confirmed (Mediazona/BBC) | 62 |
| 2026-08-31 | 228.4 k confirmed (Mediazona/BBC) | 60 |
| Period | k confirmed (Mediazona/BBC) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 204.6 | 52 |
| 2026-08 | 241 | 64 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: BBC/Mediazona — 204,626 confirmed (Mar 2026) · BBC/Mediazona — >241k confirmed (Aug 2026)