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Real disposable incomes

◐ expert estimatemanual
Current value
3.4% YoY
Stress
0/100
How the 0–100 is derived
now: 3.4 % YoY
norm · 3 % YoY · 0100 · -8 % YoY · crisis

Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.

This is an expert 0–100 estimate read from the news flow — a judgement call, not a measured figure. Treat it as a signal, not a statistic.

This is a year-on-year rate of change, not the absolute level — a level can stay high while its change reads as high stress.

Analysis

Real disposable incomes currently reads 3.4 % YoY, mapping to a stress of 0/100 — well inside the calm zone.

Across the tracked period the stress has eased by 45.5 points.

The value is sourced via an expert estimate; confidence — low. How it is derived: Rosstat; distorted by war spending, weak for many.

Trend
02040Stress 0–10031.0816.0930.0912.1025.1006.112026-08-31: 46462026-09-04: 462026-09-05: 462026-09-07: 462026-09-08: 462026-09-09: 462026-09-10: 462026-09-11: 462026-09-12: 462026-09-13: 462026-09-14: 462026-09-15: 462026-09-16: 462026-09-17: 462026-09-18: 462026-09-19: 002026-09-20: 02026-09-21: 02026-09-22: 02026-09-23: 02026-09-24: 02026-09-26: 02026-09-27: 02026-09-28: 02026-09-29: 02026-09-30: 02026-10-01: 02026-10-02: 02026-10-03: 02026-10-04: 02026-10-05: 02026-10-06: 02026-10-07: 02026-10-08: 02026-10-09: 02026-10-10: 02026-10-11: 02026-10-12: 02026-10-13: 02026-10-14: 02026-10-15: 02026-10-16: 02026-10-17: 02026-10-18: 02026-10-19: 02026-10-20: 02026-10-21: 02026-10-22: 02026-10-23: 02026-10-24: 02026-10-25: 02026-10-26: 02026-10-27: 02026-10-28: 02026-10-29: 02026-10-30: 02026-10-31: 02026-11-01: 02026-11-02: 02026-11-03: 02026-11-04: 02026-11-05: 02026-11-06: 00
Recent changes in this indicator
DateValueStress
2026-09-193.4 % YoY0
2026-08-31-2 % YoY46

Historical context (reconstructed)

89% YoY (real wages)2023202420252023: 8.28.22024: 9.29.22025: 7.47.4
Range: 7.4–9.2 % YoY (real wages)Latest: 7.4 % YoY (real wages)Peak: 2023 (0)
Stress over time (0–100)
02550751000–1002023202420252023: 002024: 002025: 00
Period% YoY (real wages)Stress
20238.20
20249.20
20257.40

Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: MinEC — real wages +8.2% (2023) · MinEC — real wages +9.2% (2024)

Method
Method
expert estimate
Confidence
low
as of
2026-10-29
Indicators in this sector
Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
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