Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
New car sales (market) currently reads 55 index (2021=100), mapping to a stress of 70/100 — elevated pressure, toward the crisis end of its scale.
Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).
The value is sourced via independent monitoring; confidence — medium. How it is derived: AEB: worst start to a year in two decades amid 14% rate and costly loans.
History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.
| Period | thousand units (new passenger cars) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 1666 | 0 |
| 2022 | 687 | 98 |
| 2023 | 1062 | 53 |
| 2024 | 1571 | 0 |
| 2025 | 1320 | 22 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: AEB/Autostat — 2021 · AEB/Autostat — 2022