Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Timber/pulp exports (EU closed) currently reads 45 % of 2021, mapping to a stress of 73/100 — elevated pressure, toward the crisis end of its scale.
Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).
The value is sourced via mirror-trade data; confidence — medium. How it is derived: China/EAEU mirror imports; main market now China at low prices.
History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.
| Period | mln m³ (sawn timber exports; roundwood 13.9) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 30.1 | 0 |
| 2024 | 22.7 | 18 |
| 2025 | 24 | 10 |
| 2026 (Jan–Apr) | 2.6 | — |
| current (RCI) | 45 | 73 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: Roslesinforg — 2021: sawn timber exports 30.1 mln m³ (-4.8%), roundwood 13.9 (-10.2%) · TAdviser — 2024 sawn timber exports 22.7 mln m³; 2025 ≈24 mln m³ (+5%)