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Daily brief · 2026-09-19

Pressure on the system today

70/100 (0.0)

Estimated proximity to systemic breakdown

22 sec to midnight

Scenario range: Optimistic · no domino 56 · Baseline 70 · Pessimistic · strong domino 72

What moved the most over the day

MOEX index — up на 1.082 OFZ 10-year yield — down на 0.179

Sectors

Construction & real estate67 Military capacity64 Finance & macro60 Manufacturing58 Transport & logistics53

Refinery / energy events

2026-09-17 Slavneft-YANOS (Yaroslavl) — Night drone strike, fire on site (awaiting confirmation)
2026-09-15 Syzran Refinery — Night drone strike on the refinery (repeat hit)

For a few indicators today, estimated figures were used.

Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
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