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Finance & macro

Score
58/100
Weight
16%
indicators
39

Trend

57.56062.5Score30.0831.0819.0910.1024.1006.112026-08-30: 62.362.32026-08-30: 62.32026-08-30: 62.32026-08-30: 62.32026-08-30: 62.32026-08-30: 62.32026-08-30: 62.32026-08-30: 62.32026-08-30: 62.32026-08-30: 62.32026-08-30: 62.32026-08-30: 63.563.52026-08-30: 63.52026-08-30: 63.52026-08-30: 63.52026-08-30: 63.52026-08-30: 63.52026-08-30: 63.52026-08-30: 63.52026-08-31: 63.52026-08-31: 62.32026-08-31: 62.32026-08-31: 62.72026-08-31: 62.32026-08-31: 62.32026-08-31: 62.32026-08-31: 62.32026-08-31: 62.32026-08-31: 62.32026-08-31: 62.32026-08-31: 62.32026-08-31: 62.32026-09-04: 62.32026-09-04: 62.32026-09-04: 62.32026-09-04: 62.32026-09-05: 62.32026-09-05: 62.32026-09-05: 62.32026-09-05: 62.32026-09-05: 62.32026-09-07: 62.42026-09-07: 62.42026-09-07: 62.42026-09-08: 62.92026-09-09: 62.92026-09-09: 62.92026-09-10: 62.92026-09-10: 62.42026-09-10: 612026-09-10: 612026-09-11: 612026-09-11: 61.32026-09-11: 61.32026-09-12: 61.32026-09-13: 61.32026-09-14: 61.32026-09-15: 61.32026-09-16: 61.32026-09-17: 61.42026-09-18: 61.42026-09-19: 602026-09-19: 602026-09-20: 602026-09-21: 602026-09-22: 602026-09-23: 602026-09-24: 602026-09-26: 59.62026-09-27: 59.62026-09-28: 59.62026-09-29: 59.72026-09-30: 59.72026-10-01: 59.72026-10-02: 59.62026-10-03: 59.62026-10-03: 59.62026-10-04: 57.12026-10-04: 57.12026-10-04: 57.12026-10-05: 57.12026-10-05: 57.12026-10-06: 57.22026-10-06: 57.22026-10-06: 56.92026-10-07: 57.22026-10-07: 57.22026-10-08: 57.22026-10-08: 57.22026-10-09: 57.22026-10-09: 57.32026-10-10: 57.12026-10-10: 57.12026-10-11: 57.12026-10-11: 56.656.62026-10-12: 57.22026-10-12: 57.12026-10-13: 56.62026-10-13: 57.12026-10-14: 572026-10-14: 57.12026-10-14: 58.42026-10-14: 58.42026-10-15: 58.42026-10-15: 58.42026-10-16: 58.42026-10-16: 58.42026-10-17: 58.42026-10-17: 58.42026-10-18: 58.42026-10-18: 58.42026-10-19: 58.42026-10-19: 58.42026-10-19: 58.32026-10-20: 58.32026-10-20: 58.32026-10-21: 58.32026-10-21: 58.22026-10-22: 58.32026-10-22: 58.22026-10-23: 58.22026-10-23: 58.22026-10-24: 58.12026-10-24: 58.12026-10-25: 58.12026-10-25: 58.12026-10-26: 58.12026-10-26: 58.12026-10-26: 58.12026-10-27: 58.12026-10-27: 58.12026-10-27: 58.12026-10-27: 58.12026-10-28: 582026-10-28: 582026-10-28: 582026-10-28: 58.12026-10-29: 58.12026-10-29: 58.12026-10-30: 58.12026-10-30: 58.12026-10-31: 58.12026-10-31: 58.12026-11-01: 58.12026-11-01: 58.12026-11-02: 58.22026-11-02: 58.22026-11-03: 58.22026-11-03: 58.22026-11-04: 58.22026-11-04: 58.22026-11-05: 58.22026-11-05: 58.22026-11-06: 58.258.2

Analysis

The Finance & macro sector scores 58/100 — moderate pressure; it carries 16% weight in the composite index.

The score aggregates 39 indicators across 8 industries (weighted by importance and freshness).

Indicators in this sector

Oil & gas budget revenue100Fixed-capital investment100Budget payouts to oil firms (damper + reverse excise)88Firms behind on taxes85VTB: share crash & marketplace ties83OFZ 10-year yield82Marketplace disruption (warehouse strikes)78OFZ placement-plan fulfillment74NWF liquid depletion pace73Marketplace market-cap crash73Banking/financial contagion (domino node)72Non-oil-and-gas deficit70MOEX index (IMOEX)69Liquid part of the NWF69Deficit: plan vs actual gap67Budget revenue-to-plan gap66Federal budget deficit (YTD)65Bad loans & over-indebtedness63Inter-firm non-payments & receivables63Business-activity index (RSBI/services PMI)62E-commerce logistics resilience61Subsidized-program burden58Bank lending to the economy56Money supply M255Corporate defaults / restructurings54Bank debt to CBR (repo auctions)53Outflow from banks (cash withdrawals)53CBR key rate46Interbank stress / RUONIA43Deposit-flight risk (latent)40Corporate bankruptcies count40Federal budget spending (annual)28Debt servicing (share of budget)26Russian state debt (federal)25Inflation (YoY)20CNY/RUB rate (CBR)18International reserves (accessible part)14USD/RUB rate (CBR)4Food inflation0
Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
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