Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Federal budget deficit (YTD) currently reads 5.19 ₽ trn, mapping to a stress of 65/100 — elevated pressure, toward the crisis end of its scale.
Across the tracked period the stress has eased by 15.9 points.
The value is sourced via independent monitoring; confidence — medium. How it is derived: Minfin figure cross-checked with BOFIT/OSW; real burden higher off-balance.
| Date | Value | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 5.19 ₽ trn | 65 |
| 2026-10-04 | 5.8 ₽ trn | 72 |
| 2026-09-19 | 6.5 ₽ trn | 81 |
| 2026-09-10 | 5.79 ₽ trn | 72 |
| 2026-08-31 | 6.46 ₽ trn | 81 |
| Period | ₽ trn | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-9M | 3.78 | 47 |
| 2025 | 5.65 | 71 |
| 2026-01 | 1.7 | 21 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: Forbes — 9M-2025 deficit 3.78 trn RUB · Full-2025 deficit 5.65 trn (vs 1.17 planned)