Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Liquid part of the NWF currently reads 3.8 ₽ trn, mapping to a stress of 69/100 — elevated pressure, toward the crisis end of its scale.
Across the tracked period the stress has eased by 8.9 points.
The value is sourced via official statistics; confidence — high. How it is derived: Minfin monthly; the real cushion (yuan+gold), near depletion at current burn.
| Date | Value | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 3.8 ₽ trn | 69 |
| 2026-09-10 | 4 ₽ trn | 67 |
| 2026-08-31 | 3 ₽ trn | 78 |
| Period | ₽ trn (liquid NWF) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 4.08 | 66 |
| 2026-07 | 3.61 | 71 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: Minfin — liquid NWF 4.08 trn RUB (1 Jan 2026) · Liquid NWF 3.612 trn RUB (1 Jul 2026)