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NWF liquid depletion pace

◐ expert estimatemanual
Current value
14months to zero (est.)
Stress
73/100
How the 0–100 is derived
now: 14 months to zero (est.)
norm · 36 months to zero (est.) · 0100 · 6 months to zero (est.) · crisis

Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.

This is an expert 0–100 estimate read from the news flow — a judgement call, not a measured figure. Treat it as a signal, not a statistic.

Analysis

NWF liquid depletion pace currently reads 14 months to zero (est.), mapping to a stress of 73/100 — elevated pressure, toward the crisis end of its scale.

Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).

The value is sourced via a forward projection; confidence — low. How it is derived: Model forecast: liquid part / average monthly draw at deficit and ~$45 oil.

Trend

History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.

Historical context (reconstructed)

No long public data series exists for this indicator — it is an estimated 0–100 index from expert / OSINT sources, not a published statistic. We track the current reading (and the short live trend above, where it exists).

Method
Method
model forecast
Confidence
low
as of
standing estimate
Part of sector
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Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
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