Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Oil & gas budget revenue currently reads 452 ₽ bn/mo, mapping to a stress of 100/100 — critical pressure, near the worst end of its calibrated range.
Across the tracked period the stress has risen by 17.1 points.
The value is sourced via official statistics; confidence — medium. How it is derived: Minfin; depends on Urals price and FX, both unfavorable now.
| Date | Value | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 452 ₽ bn/mo | 100 |
| 2026-10-04 | 630 ₽ bn/mo | 81 |
| 2026-09-19 | 934 ₽ bn/mo | 38 |
| 2026-08-31 | 620 ₽ bn/mo | 83 |
| Period | ₽ bn/mo (6.6 trn over 9M) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-9M | 733 | 67 |
| 2026-08 | 424 | 100 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: 9M-2025 oil&gas revenue 6.6 trn (-20.6% YoY) · Aug-2026 oil&gas revenue 424 bn RUB