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OFZ 10-year yield

● measuredauto
Current value
16.34%
Stress
82/100
How the 0–100 is derived
now: 16.34 %
norm · 9 % · 0100 · 18 % · crisis

Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.

Analysis

OFZ 10-year yield currently reads 16.34 %, mapping to a stress of 82/100 — critical pressure, near the worst end of its calibrated range.

Across the tracked period the stress has risen by 9.4 points. Day-over-day: +0.7 pts.

The value is sourced via official statistics; confidence — high. How it is derived: MOEX ISS daily (auto). Cost of servicing state debt; higher = costlier deficit funding.

Trend
758085Stress 0–10031.0816.0930.0912.1025.1006.112026-08-31: 72.272.22026-09-04: 72.22026-09-05: 72.22026-09-07: 72.22026-09-08: 75.62026-09-09: 75.82026-09-10: 752026-09-11: 75.82026-09-12: 76.72026-09-13: 76.72026-09-14: 76.82026-09-15: 76.62026-09-16: 77.12026-09-17: 78.82026-09-18: 79.22026-09-19: 78.72026-09-20: 78.72026-09-21: 78.42026-09-22: 79.12026-09-23: 80.62026-09-24: 79.12026-09-26: 80.32026-09-27: 80.22026-09-28: 80.32026-09-29: 83.12026-09-30: 83.32026-10-01: 83.42026-10-02: 83.32026-10-03: 83.72026-10-04: 83.22026-10-05: 83.82026-10-06: 842026-10-07: 83.92026-10-08: 85.32026-10-09: 86.186.12026-10-10: 83.62026-10-11: 72.22026-10-12: 84.22026-10-13: 83.82026-10-14: 82.22026-10-15: 822026-10-16: 82.12026-10-17: 81.92026-10-18: 81.72026-10-19: 81.82026-10-20: 822026-10-21: 81.12026-10-22: 80.82026-10-23: 81.32026-10-24: 81.12026-10-25: 81.12026-10-26: 80.82026-10-27: 79.42026-10-28: 79.12026-10-29: 79.72026-10-30: 79.62026-10-31: 79.42026-11-01: 79.22026-11-02: 80.42026-11-03: 80.32026-11-04: 80.12026-11-05: 80.92026-11-06: 81.681.6
Recent changes in this indicator
DateValueStress
2026-11-0616.34 %82
2026-11-0516.28 %81
2026-11-0416.21 %80
2026-11-0316.23 %80
2026-11-0216.24 %80
2026-11-0116.13 %79
2026-10-3116.15 %79
2026-10-3016.16 %80
2026-10-2916.17 %80
2026-10-2816.12 %79
2026-10-2716.15 %79
2026-10-2616.27 %81

Historical trend (2021–present)

101520%2021-062022-072023-072024-082025-082026-092021-06: 7.37.32021-07: 772021-08: 7.12021-09: 7.42021-10: 8.22021-11: 8.42021-12: 8.42022-01: 9.52022-02: 12.22022-03: 11.42022-04: 10.22022-05: 9.52022-06: 8.82022-07: 8.72022-08: 8.92022-09: 10.52022-10: 9.92022-11: 102022-12: 102023-01: 10.12023-02: 10.32023-03: 10.32023-04: 10.32023-05: 10.22023-06: 10.42023-07: 10.72023-08: 11.32023-09: 12.12023-10: 12.62023-11: 11.72023-12: 11.82024-01: 11.82024-02: 12.32024-03: 13.22024-04: 13.62024-05: 15.22024-06: 15.52024-07: 16.12024-08: 16.12024-09: 16.92024-10: 18.718.72024-11: 18.12024-12: 16.22025-01: 16.82025-02: 15.82025-03: 15.82025-04: 16.22025-05: 15.62025-06: 14.42025-07: 13.82025-08: 14.12025-09: 14.72025-10: 152025-11: 14.62025-12: 14.42026-01: 14.72026-02: 14.62026-03: 14.12026-04: 13.92026-05: 14.12026-06: 152026-07: 15.12026-08: 15.12026-09: 15.215.2
Range: 6.96–18.66 %Latest: 15.24 %Peak: 2024-10 (100)
Stress over time (0–100)
02550751000–1002021-062022-072023-072024-082025-082026-092021-06: 002021-07: 02021-08: 02021-09: 02021-10: 02021-11: 02021-12: 02022-01: 52022-02: 352022-03: 272022-04: 132022-05: 62022-06: 02022-07: 02022-08: 02022-09: 172022-10: 102022-11: 112022-12: 112023-01: 122023-02: 152023-03: 152023-04: 142023-05: 142023-06: 152023-07: 182023-08: 252023-09: 352023-10: 402023-11: 302023-12: 312024-01: 322024-02: 372024-03: 472024-04: 512024-05: 692024-06: 722024-07: 792024-08: 792024-09: 882024-10: 1001002024-11: 1002024-12: 802025-01: 862025-02: 762025-03: 762025-04: 802025-05: 742025-06: 602025-07: 532025-08: 562025-09: 632025-10: 672025-11: 622025-12: 612026-01: 632026-02: 622026-03: 562026-04: 552026-05: 572026-06: 662026-07: 672026-08: 682026-09: 6969
Period%Stress
2021-067.280
2021-076.960
2021-087.110
2021-097.380
2021-108.250
2021-118.370
2021-128.370
2022-019.495
2022-0212.1935
2022-0311.4327
2022-0410.1713
2022-059.526
2022-068.760
2022-078.680
2022-088.930
2022-0910.5217
2022-109.9210
2022-119.9711
2022-129.9611
2023-0110.1112
2023-0210.3415
2023-0310.3315
2023-0410.2914
2023-0510.2314
2023-0610.3715
2023-0710.6518
2023-0811.2825
2023-0912.1335
2023-1012.5740
2023-1111.7230
2023-1211.7631
2024-0111.8432
2024-0212.3337
2024-0313.2247
2024-0413.5651
2024-0515.2269
2024-0615.4672
2024-0716.0879
2024-0816.1279
2024-0916.9388
2024-1018.66100
2024-1118.12100
2024-1216.1880
2025-0116.7786
2025-0215.8476
2025-0315.876
2025-0416.1780
2025-0515.6374
2025-0614.3960
2025-0713.7753
2025-0814.0656
2025-0914.763
2025-101567
2025-1114.662
2025-1214.4561
2026-0114.6863
2026-0214.5662
2026-0314.0756
2026-0413.9255
2026-0514.1357
2026-0614.9866
2026-0715.0767
2026-0815.1468
2026-0915.2469

Monthly period-end values from the daily market series — real observations, no interpolation. Source: MOEX ISS OFZ 26239 (SU26239RMFS2), YIELDCLOSE

Method
Method
official data
Confidence
high
Sources
MOEX ISS
as of
2026-11-06
Part of sector
Finance & macro
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Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
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