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Deficit: plan vs actual gap

● measuredmanual
Current value
120% of plan
Stress
67/100
How the 0–100 is derived
now: 120 % of plan
norm · 80 % of plan · 0100 · 140 % of plan · crisis

Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.

Analysis

Deficit: plan vs actual gap currently reads 120 % of plan, mapping to a stress of 67/100 — elevated pressure, toward the crisis end of its scale.

Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).

The value is sourced via independent monitoring; confidence — medium. How it is derived: How far the actual budget deficit runs ahead of plan. The plan was revised up to ~₽4.83trn (from ₽3.79trn), yet Jan–Aug actual is already ₽5.795trn — the plan is exceeded, a fiscal-stress signal.

Trend

History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.

Method
Method
independent tracker
Confidence
medium
as of
standing estimate
Part of sector
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Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
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