Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Deficit: plan vs actual gap currently reads 120 % of plan, mapping to a stress of 67/100 — elevated pressure, toward the crisis end of its scale.
Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).
The value is sourced via independent monitoring; confidence — medium. How it is derived: How far the actual budget deficit runs ahead of plan. The plan was revised up to ~₽4.83trn (from ₽3.79trn), yet Jan–Aug actual is already ₽5.795trn — the plan is exceeded, a fiscal-stress signal.
History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.