Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Budget payouts to oil firms (damper + reverse excise) currently reads 403.7 ₽ bn/mo, mapping to a stress of 88/100 — critical pressure, near the worst end of its calibrated range.
Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).
The value is sourced via official statistics; confidence — medium. How it is derived: Fuel damper plus reverse excise on crude: money the budget hands back to oil companies; record 403.7 bn RUB in September.
History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.