Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Non-oil-and-gas deficit currently reads 12 % of GDP, mapping to a stress of 70/100 — elevated pressure, toward the crisis end of its scale.
Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).
The value is sourced via independent monitoring; confidence — medium. How it is derived: BOFIT/OSW estimate of the structural gap between spending and non-oil revenue.
History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.