Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Seaborne crude exports to China (ESPO) currently reads 1.28 mln bbl/day, mapping to a stress of 60/100 — elevated pressure, toward the crisis end of its scale.
Across the tracked period the stress has risen by 30.0 points. Day-over-day: -5.0 pts.
The value is sourced via official statistics; confidence — medium. How it is derived: CREA (auto): how much Russian crude ships east to China — the eastern leg's volume, a direct driver of hard-currency revenue.
| Date | Value | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | 1.28 mln bbl/day | 60 |
| 2026-11-05 | 1.22 mln bbl/day | 65 |
| 2026-11-04 | 1.17 mln bbl/day | 69 |
| 2026-11-03 | 1.28 mln bbl/day | 60 |
| 2026-11-02 | 1.3 mln bbl/day | 58 |
| 2026-11-01 | 1.31 mln bbl/day | 58 |
| 2026-10-31 | 1.12 mln bbl/day | 73 |
| 2026-10-30 | 1.39 mln bbl/day | 51 |
| 2026-10-29 | 1.56 mln bbl/day | 37 |
| 2026-10-28 | 1.64 mln bbl/day | 30 |
| 2026-10-27 | 1.78 mln bbl/day | 18 |
| 2026-10-25 | 1.88 mln bbl/day | 10 |