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Foreign trade & sanctions

Score
44/100
Weight
11%
indicators
24

Trend

5060Score30.0831.0819.0910.1024.1006.112026-08-30: 60602026-08-30: 602026-08-30: 602026-08-30: 602026-08-30: 602026-08-30: 602026-08-30: 602026-08-30: 602026-08-30: 602026-08-30: 602026-08-30: 602026-08-30: 542026-08-30: 542026-08-30: 542026-08-30: 542026-08-30: 542026-08-30: 47.82026-08-30: 47.82026-08-30: 47.82026-08-31: 47.82026-08-31: 47.82026-08-31: 47.82026-08-31: 47.82026-08-31: 47.82026-08-31: 47.82026-08-31: 47.82026-08-31: 47.82026-08-31: 47.82026-08-31: 47.82026-08-31: 47.82026-08-31: 47.82026-08-31: 47.82026-09-04: 48.32026-09-04: 48.32026-09-04: 48.32026-09-04: 48.32026-09-05: 48.42026-09-05: 48.42026-09-05: 48.42026-09-05: 48.42026-09-05: 48.42026-09-07: 49.32026-09-07: 49.32026-09-07: 49.32026-09-08: 49.32026-09-09: 55.42026-09-09: 49.32026-09-10: 55.42026-09-10: 55.42026-09-10: 49.32026-09-10: 49.32026-09-11: 49.32026-09-11: 49.32026-09-11: 49.32026-09-12: 49.32026-09-13: 49.32026-09-14: 49.32026-09-15: 49.32026-09-16: 49.32026-09-17: 49.32026-09-18: 49.32026-09-19: 45.82026-09-19: 45.82026-09-20: 45.42026-09-21: 43.243.22026-09-22: 43.22026-09-23: 43.22026-09-24: 43.22026-09-26: 46.32026-09-27: 45.72026-09-28: 47.22026-09-29: 46.42026-09-30: 462026-10-01: 45.82026-10-02: 45.82026-10-03: 46.12026-10-03: 46.12026-10-04: 45.62026-10-04: 45.62026-10-04: 45.62026-10-05: 45.52026-10-05: 45.92026-10-06: 45.72026-10-06: 45.52026-10-06: 45.92026-10-07: 462026-10-07: 46.12026-10-08: 46.32026-10-08: 46.62026-10-09: 45.42026-10-09: 45.42026-10-10: 45.72026-10-10: 45.72026-10-11: 45.72026-10-11: 45.72026-10-12: 462026-10-12: 45.92026-10-13: 45.82026-10-13: 45.82026-10-14: 45.92026-10-14: 45.92026-10-14: 462026-10-14: 45.92026-10-15: 45.42026-10-15: 45.52026-10-16: 45.52026-10-16: 45.42026-10-17: 46.12026-10-17: 46.12026-10-18: 45.82026-10-18: 45.82026-10-19: 45.12026-10-19: 45.12026-10-19: 45.42026-10-20: 45.72026-10-20: 44.92026-10-21: 45.42026-10-21: 45.42026-10-22: 45.32026-10-22: 45.22026-10-23: 45.22026-10-23: 45.42026-10-24: 45.42026-10-24: 452026-10-25: 44.72026-10-25: 44.72026-10-26: 44.82026-10-26: 45.12026-10-26: 45.42026-10-27: 45.12026-10-27: 45.12026-10-27: 452026-10-27: 44.82026-10-28: 452026-10-28: 45.12026-10-28: 43.72026-10-28: 44.52026-10-29: 45.42026-10-29: 45.42026-10-30: 46.12026-10-30: 46.12026-10-31: 46.82026-10-31: 46.82026-11-01: 45.52026-11-01: 45.52026-11-02: 45.32026-11-02: 45.32026-11-03: 44.82026-11-03: 44.82026-11-04: 44.62026-11-04: 44.62026-11-05: 44.22026-11-05: 44.22026-11-06: 43.743.7

Analysis

The Foreign trade & sanctions sector scores 44/100 — low pressure; it carries 11% weight in the composite index.

The score aggregates 24 indicators across 6 industries (weighted by importance and freshness).

Indicators in this sector

Lengthening cross-border payments73Shadow-fleet share of oil exports73Dependence on yuan/China settlements66Third-country bank payment refusals65Tighter export controls (dual-use)65Current-account balance63Stuck export revenue (rupees/yuan)61Seaborne crude exports to China (ESPO)60New sanctions packages/listings60Parallel-import markup/failures58Re-export via Turkey/Central Asia58Imports from China (mirror stats)57Trade concentration on China56Urals-to-Brent discount47Competition for China's oil market (Africa/Brazil vs Russia)40Net capital outflow13Non-energy non-commodity exports7ESPO-to-Brent discount1Brent crude0Urals crude (with discount)0Urals tax price (MinEcon)0Russian crude price to China (ESPO)0Revenue from crude to China (ESPO)0Fossil-fuel export revenue (weekly)0
Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
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