Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
This is an expert 0–100 estimate read from the news flow — a judgement call, not a measured figure. Treat it as a signal, not a statistic.
This is a year-on-year rate of change, not the absolute level — a level can stay high while its change reads as high stress.
Non-energy non-commodity exports currently reads 3 % YoY, mapping to a stress of 7/100 — well inside the calm zone.
Across the tracked period the stress has eased by 36.6 points.
The value is sourced via an expert estimate; confidence — low. How it is derived: OSINT/customs; a weak segment shrinking under sanctions.
| Date | Value | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | 3 % YoY | 7 |
| 2026-08-31 | -8 % YoY | 43 |
No long public data series exists for this indicator — it is an estimated 0–100 index from expert / OSINT sources, not a published statistic. We track the current reading (and the short live trend above, where it exists).