Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Urals-to-Brent discount currently reads 29.22 $/bbl, mapping to a stress of 47/100 — moderate pressure.
Across the tracked period the stress has eased by 5.5 points. Day-over-day: -6.9 pts.
The value is sourced via official statistics; confidence — medium. How it is derived: CREA (auto): key sanctions indicator — how cheaply Russia must sell.
| Date | Value | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | 29.22 $/bbl | 47 |
| 2026-11-05 | 31.28 $/bbl | 54 |
| 2026-11-04 | 31.78 $/bbl | 56 |
| 2026-11-03 | 32.91 $/bbl | 60 |
| 2026-11-02 | 31.31 $/bbl | 54 |
| 2026-11-01 | 31.84 $/bbl | 56 |
| 2026-10-31 | 32.29 $/bbl | 58 |
| 2026-10-30 | 30.78 $/bbl | 53 |
| 2026-10-29 | 30.64 $/bbl | 52 |
| 2026-10-28 | 29.55 $/bbl | 48 |
| 2026-10-27 | 38.84 $/bbl | 80 |
| 2026-10-26 | 43.29 $/bbl | 94 |