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Urals crude (with discount)

● measuredauto
Current value
78.13$/bbl
Stress
0/100
How the 0–100 is derived
now: 78.13 $/bbl
norm · 70 $/bbl · 0100 · 35 $/bbl · crisis

Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.

Details → barrel economics

Analysis

Urals crude (with discount) currently reads 78.13 $/bbl, mapping to a stress of 0/100 — well inside the calm zone.

Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).

The value is sourced via official statistics; confidence — medium. How it is derived: CREA/Argus (auto): Urals = Brent − discount.

Trend
01020Stress 0–10031.0816.0930.0912.1025.1006.112026-08-31: 002026-09-04: 02026-09-05: 02026-09-07: 02026-09-08: 02026-09-09: 02026-09-10: 02026-09-11: 02026-09-12: 02026-09-13: 02026-09-14: 02026-09-15: 02026-09-16: 02026-09-17: 02026-09-18: 02026-09-19: 02026-09-20: 02026-09-21: 02026-09-22: 02026-09-23: 02026-09-24: 02026-09-26: 17.22026-09-27: 17.42026-09-28: 17.12026-09-29: 16.12026-09-30: 16.62026-10-01: 14.82026-10-02: 13.32026-10-03: 17.62026-10-04: 16.22026-10-05: 16.42026-10-06: 18182026-10-07: 182026-10-08: 182026-10-09: 15.42026-10-10: 15.42026-10-11: 15.42026-10-12: 152026-10-13: 152026-10-14: 152026-10-15: 11.22026-10-16: 11.62026-10-17: 11.42026-10-18: 9.72026-10-19: 8.92026-10-20: 7.32026-10-21: 7.32026-10-22: 3.12026-10-23: 0.92026-10-24: 02026-10-25: 02026-10-26: 02026-10-27: 02026-10-28: 02026-10-29: 02026-10-30: 02026-10-31: 02026-11-01: 02026-11-02: 02026-11-03: 02026-11-04: 02026-11-05: 02026-11-06: 00
Recent changes in this indicator
DateValueStress
2026-11-0678.13 $/bbl0
2026-11-0576.36 $/bbl0
2026-11-0476.26 $/bbl0
2026-11-0375.27 $/bbl0
2026-11-0274.66 $/bbl0
2026-11-0173.96 $/bbl0
2026-10-3173.32 $/bbl0
2026-10-3074.54 $/bbl0
2026-10-2974.47 $/bbl0
2026-10-2875.27 $/bbl0
2026-10-2774.87 $/bbl0
2026-10-2673.21 $/bbl0

Historical context (reconstructed)

6080100120$/bbl2023-012026-092023-01: 49492026-09: 113113
Range: 49.48–113.41 $/bblLatest: 113.41 $/bblPeak: 2023-01 (59)
Stress over time (0–100)
02550751000–1002023-012026-092023-01: 59592026-09: 00
Period$/bblStress
2023-0149.4859
2026-09113.410

Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: TAdviser — Urals $49.48 (Jan 2023) · Minfin — Urals $113.41 (17 Sep 2026)

Method
Method
official data
Confidence
medium
Sources
CREA (реализ., Индия+Турция)
as of
2026-11-06
Part of sector
Foreign trade & sanctions
Indicators in this sector

Foreign trade & sanctions →

Lengthening cross-border payments73Shadow-fleet share of oil exports73Dependence on yuan/China settlements66Third-country bank payment refusals65Tighter export controls (dual-use)65Current-account balance63Stuck export revenue (rupees/yuan)61Seaborne crude exports to China (ESPO)60New sanctions packages/listings60Parallel-import markup/failures58Re-export via Turkey/Central Asia58Imports from China (mirror stats)57Trade concentration on China56Urals-to-Brent discount47
Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
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