Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
This is a year-on-year rate of change, not the absolute level — a level can stay high while its change reads as high stress.
Machinery & equipment output currently reads -4.1 % YoY, mapping to a stress of 46/100 — moderate pressure.
Across the tracked period the stress has risen by 30.5 points.
The value is sourced via a proxy indicator; confidence — medium. How it is derived: Official growth is misleading — driven by defense; civilian segment estimated apart.
| Date | Value | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | -4.1 % YoY | 46 |
| 2026-08-31 | 2 % YoY | 15 |
| Period | % cumulative (official machinery-industry IIP) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2021→2024 | 35.5 | — |
| 2025-H1 | -1.1 | 30 |
| 2026-06 | 0.6 | — |
| current (RCI) | -4.1 | 46 |
Proxy series (not the exact index). Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: RBC Trends — machinery-industry IIP +35.5% 2021→2024 (a segment +80.5%) · EG — H1 2025: machinery & equipment output -1.1%; electrical equipment -1.0%