Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Non-ferrous exports (shift to Asia) currently reads 72 % of 2021, mapping to a stress of 58/100 — moderate pressure.
Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).
The value is sourced via mirror-trade data; confidence — low. How it is derived: China/Turkey mirror stats; opaque flows, hence low confidence.
History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.
| Period | % (Russia's share of China aluminium imports) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 12 | — |
| 2023 | 25.7 | — |
| 2025-H1 | 56 | — |
| 2025 | 94 | — |
| current (RCI) | 72 | 58 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: Carnegie — Russia 12% of China aluminium imports (2021) · Carnegie — Russia 25.7% of China aluminium imports (2023), up from 12% (2021)