Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
This is an expert 0–100 estimate read from the news flow — a judgement call, not a measured figure. Treat it as a signal, not a statistic.
This is a year-on-year rate of change, not the absolute level — a level can stay high while its change reads as high stress.
Oilseeds & sugar output currently reads -3 % YoY, mapping to a stress of 26/100 — modest pressure.
Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).
The value is sourced via an expert estimate; confidence — low. How it is derived: SovEcon; softer season on weather and input constraints.
History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.
| Period | mln t (oilseeds, record) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25.5 | — |
| 2023 | 53.1 | — |
| 2024 | 41.9 | 100 |
| 2025 | 49 | — |
| current (RCI) | -3 | 26 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: MinAgri via Zol — 2022 oilseed harvest record 25.5 mln t; sugar beet >43 mln t · Rusagro — 2024/25 sugar beet 41.9 mln t (-21% / -11.2 mln t) → 2023 ≈53.1 mln t