Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
This is a year-on-year rate of change, not the absolute level — a level can stay high while its change reads as high stress.
Primary oil refining currently reads -9.2 % YoY, mapping to a stress of 56/100 — moderate pressure.
Across the tracked period the stress has risen by 6.0 points.
The value is sourced via independent monitoring; confidence — medium. How it is derived: KSE/satellite flare data vs Rosstat; below last year after refinery strikes.
| Date | Value | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | -9.2 % YoY | 56 |
| 2026-08-31 | -8 % YoY | 50 |
| Period | mln t (primary refining) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 270.2 | — |
| 2021 | 280.7 | 0 |
| 2022 | 272 | 26 |
| 2023 | 274.7 | 5 |
| 2024 | 266.5 | 25 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: CDU TEK / Rosstat / Minenergo refining volumes (via Morvesti/finmarket/oilcapital/downstream.pro)