Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Share of timber firms at collapse risk currently reads 50 %, mapping to a stress of 64/100 — elevated pressure, toward the crisis end of its scale.
Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).
The value is sourced via independent monitoring; confidence — medium. How it is derived: Sector estimates: up to ~50% of timber firms near bankruptcy.
History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.
| Period | % decline in logging volumes vs 2021 (driver) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 (context) | 13 | — |
| 2025 | 45 | 54 |
| 2026 | 50 | 64 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: Moscow Times/Lesprom — 2024 logging -13%, lumber -11%, plywood -23% vs 2021 · Techart — 45% of forestry-sector organizations unprofitable