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Daily brief · 2026-09-11

Pressure on the system today
70/100 (0.0)
Estimated proximity to systemic breakdown
22 sec to midnight

Scenario range: Optimistic · no domino 56 · Baseline 70 · Pessimistic · strong domino 72

What moved the most over the day

CNY/RUB rate — down на 8.014OFZ 10-year yield — down на 3.672USD/RUB rate — up на 2.511Confirmed irrecoverable personnel losses — up на 2.062Territorial change — up на 0.459

Sectors

Military capacity63Finance & macro61Construction & real estate59Manufacturing59Society, regions, demography57

Refinery / energy events

nothing notable

For a few indicators today, estimated figures were used.

Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
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