Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
This is a year-on-year rate of change, not the absolute level — a level can stay high while its change reads as high stress.
Coal exports (volume) currently reads -18 % YoY, mapping to a stress of 66/100 — elevated pressure, toward the crisis end of its scale.
Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).
The value is sourced via official statistics; confidence — medium. How it is derived: Partner-country customs data; export markets shrinking under sanctions.
History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.
| Period | mln t | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 41.7 | — |
| 2002 | 43.3 | 3 |
| 2003 | 60.6 | 0 |
| 2004 | 72.1 | 0 |
| 2005 | 80.2 | 0 |
| 2006 | 91.9 | 0 |
| 2007 | 98.6 | 0 |
| 2008 | 98.1 | 16 |
| 2009 | 106 | 0 |
| 2010 | 116.1 | 0 |
| 2011 | 111.3 | 26 |
| 2012 | 131.8 | 0 |
| 2013 | 140.8 | 0 |
| 2014 | 155.6 | 0 |
| 2015 | 156 | 14 |
| 2016 | 171.4 | 0 |
| 2017 | 190.1 | 0 |
| 2018 | 199.5 | 0 |
| 2019 | 205.4 | 6 |
| 2020 | 199.1 | 23 |
| 2021 | 210.5 | 0 |
| 2022 | 210.9 | 14 |
| 2023 | 212.6 | 12 |
| 2024 | 196.2 | 36 |
| 2025 | 203 | 3 |
| 2026-H1 (Jan–Jun) | 107.13 | 0 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: CDU TEK / FTS RF export series (J. compilation) · Partner-customs / industry track (wikipedia collation; ЦЦИ via Forbes/portnews)