Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
This is an expert 0–100 estimate read from the news flow — a judgement call, not a measured figure. Treat it as a signal, not a statistic.
Diamond sales (Alrosa sanctions) currently reads 50 % of 2021, mapping to a stress of 67/100 — elevated pressure, toward the crisis end of its scale.
Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).
The value is sourced via an expert estimate; confidence — low. How it is derived: Kimberley/OSINT; G7 sanctions cut Alrosa's traditional markets.
History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.
| Period | US$ mln (Alrosa rough+polished sales) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4169 | 0 |
| 2025-9M | 156.76 | — |
| 2026-H1 | 74.2 | — |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: ALROSA — 2021 diamond sales $4,169 mln (rough $3,977 mln) · Rapaport — Alrosa 9M 2025 revenue RUB 156.76bn (-6% YoY)