Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
This is an expert 0–100 estimate read from the news flow — a judgement call, not a measured figure. Treat it as a signal, not a statistic.
LNG exports (under sanctions) currently reads 60 index, mapping to a stress of 57/100 — moderate pressure.
Across the tracked period the stress has held roughly flat (+0.0 pts).
The value is sourced via an expert estimate; confidence — low. How it is derived: KSE/OSINT; sanctions on Arctic LNG hamper exports.
History is accumulating since launch — a chart appears once enough daily readings pile up.
| Period | Mt (Russia LNG exports) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 30.3 | — |
| 2023 | 29.3 | — |
| 2024 | 30.5 | — |
| 2026-H1 | 16.7 | — |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: OSW — LNG exports ~29→30.3 Mt y/y (pre-war) · Seala/industry — Russia LNG ~45 bcm / ~30.5 Mt (2023)