Stress is just how far today's value sits between “norm” (0) and “crisis” (100) — a fixed calibrated scale, not a verdict. It measures pressure, not a prediction of collapse.
Pipeline gas exports to EU currently reads 23.3 % of 2021, mapping to a stress of 81/100 — critical pressure, near the worst end of its calibrated range.
Across the tracked period the stress has eased by 5.5 points.
The value is sourced via official statistics; confidence — high. How it is derived: ENTSOG/Bruegel flows; a lost market and structural blow to Gazprom.
| Date | Value | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | 23.3 % of 2021 | 81 |
| 2026-11-04 | 23.4 % of 2021 | 81 |
| 2026-11-03 | 23.2 % of 2021 | 81 |
| 2026-11-01 | 23.1 % of 2021 | 81 |
| 2026-10-31 | 23 % of 2021 | 81 |
| 2026-10-30 | 22.9 % of 2021 | 81 |
| 2026-10-28 | 22.8 % of 2021 | 81 |
| 2026-10-27 | 23 % of 2021 | 81 |
| 2026-10-23 | 21.5 % of 2021 | 83 |
| 2026-10-22 | 22.3 % of 2021 | 82 |
| 2026-10-21 | 21.9 % of 2021 | 82 |
| 2026-10-20 | 21.6 % of 2021 | 82 |
| Period | bcm (pipeline to EU) | Stress |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 157 | 0 |
| 2022 | 62 | 64 |
| 2023 | 25.1 | 88 |
Longest defensible public series behind this metric — annual, open sources. Reconstructed context, not the live value; no interpolation. Sources: Forbes — Russia supplied 157 bcm to EU in 2021 · Widely reported EU pipeline imports from Russia 2022 (~60 bcm)