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Daily brief · 2026-10-20

Pressure on the system today
70/100 (-0.4)
Estimated proximity to systemic breakdown
21 sec to midnight

Scenario range: Optimistic · no domino 55 · Baseline 70 · Pessimistic · strong domino 75

What moved the most over the day

ESPO-to-Brent discount — down на 17.746Urals-to-Brent discount — down на 14.882MOEX index — up на 0.569OFZ 10-year yield — up на 0.482CNY/RUB rate — down на 0.220USD/RUB rate — up на 0.16

Sectors

Construction & real estate67Military capacity66Finance & macro58Manufacturing58Society, regions, demography53

Refinery / energy events

For a few indicators today, estimated figures were used.

Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
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