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Daily brief · 2026-10-21

Pressure on the system today
70/100 (0.0)
Estimated proximity to systemic breakdown
21 sec to midnight

Scenario range: Optimistic · no domino 56 · Baseline 70 · Pessimistic · strong domino 75

What moved the most over the day

USD/RUB rate — down на 1.94CNY/RUB rate — down на 1.318MOEX index — up на 1.170ESPO-to-Brent discount — down на 1.057Urals-to-Brent discount — down на 0.889OFZ 10-year yield — up на 0.181

Sectors

Construction & real estate67Military capacity66Finance & macro58Manufacturing58Society, regions, demography53

Refinery / energy events

For a few indicators today, estimated figures were used.

Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
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