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Daily brief · 2026-10-27

Pressure on the system today

72/100 (0.0)

Estimated proximity to systemic breakdown

19 sec to midnight

Scenario range: Optimistic · no domino 56 · Baseline 72 · Pessimistic · strong domino 75

What moved the most over the day

ESPO-to-Brent discount — down на 4.872 Urals-to-Brent discount — down на 3.980 MOEX index — up на 1.366 OFZ 10-year yield — down на 0.379 USD/RUB rate — up на 0.11

Sectors

Construction & real estate67 Military capacity66 Manufacturing58 Finance & macro58 Society, regions, demography55

Refinery / energy events

2026-10-27 LUKOIL-Permnefteorgsintez — Drone/missile strike on refinery

Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
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