← Daily briefs
Home › Daily briefs › 2026-09-27

Daily brief · 2026-09-27

Pressure on the system today
70/100 (-0.2)
Estimated proximity to systemic breakdown
22 sec to midnight

Scenario range: Optimistic · no domino 56 · Baseline 70 · Pessimistic · strong domino 73

What moved the most over the day

ESPO-to-Brent discount — down на 17.622Seaborne crude exports — up на 11.729Urals-to-Brent discount — down на 11.362Seaborne crude exports to China — up на 2.532Revenue from crude to China — up на 1.752Territorial change — up на 1.466Pipeline gas exports to EU — down на 0.488MOEX index — down на 0.381

Sectors

Construction & real estate67Military capacity65Finance & macro60Manufacturing58Extractive industry55

Refinery / energy events

nothing notable

For a few indicators today, estimated figures were used.

Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
Found an error or have a suggestion to improve the site? Write to us: russiacollapseindex@gmail.com