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All indicators

Every tracked indicator, grouped by sector, each linking to its own page.

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Extractive industry

Share of loss-making coal firms95Pipeline gas exports to EU81Pipeline gas price to China80Diamond sales (Alrosa sanctions)67Coal exports (volume)66Metals/ore exports (EU closed)58Gas output58LNG exports (under sanctions)57Idle/mothballed well stock50Gold's role in sanctions evasion50Crude output (vs OPEC+ quota)47Coal output40Iron ore output39Seaborne crude exports32

Manufacturing

Idle refinery capacity (strikes/repairs)100Civil aircraft output vs plan86Domestic microelectronics lag (node)85Dependence on imported machine tools/CNC80Steelmakers' financial health77Real localization (ex-Chinese SKD)76Timber/pulp exports (EU closed)73Import of critical microchips (evasion)72Fuel availability at stations (crowdsourced)72Aviation component shortage71Severity of fuel crisis70New car sales (market)70Passenger car output69Domestic steel demand68Gasoline import share65Premium for war tech from China65Ice-class LNG tanker shortage64Steel exports (EU closed)64Share of timber firms at collapse risk64Civilian machinery (ex-defense)62Dependence on imported specialty chemicals62Civil shipbuilding order failures62Non-ferrous exports (shift to Asia)58Refinery catalyst/equipment shortage57Primary oil refining56LME/logistics limits (Al, Ni)50Wholesale fuel prices (SPIMEX)47Machinery & equipment output46Crude steel output40Position in global fertilizer market40Non-ferrous metals output33Light & food industry31Sawn timber output30Chemicals output0Fertilizer exports to China (mirror)0

Agriculture & food

Farm diesel availability72Farm profitability72Risk to the harvest (fuel/weather)70Grain exports (duties, logistics)68Wheat price, class 3 (Centre)64Grain export logistics58Farm machinery wear (parts shortage)58Shortage of vet drugs/genetics (imports)58Share of loss-making farms58Grain export shortfall (estimate)57Livestock & poultry output49Oilseeds & sugar output26Winter sowing plan for the 2027 crop25Grain harvest forecast5

Transport & logistics

Airport closures ("Kovyor" plan)78Airworthiness of the fleet74Eastern Polygon congestion64Rising aviation incidents/failures64Shadow-fleet tanker insurance rates58Sea port throughput53Border-crossing/import-logistics congestion51Passenger traffic (closed southern airports)50Oil/gas pipeline load to the East50Disruption of export terminals45Pipeline damage/sabotage40RZD network freight loading23

Power & utilities

Utility tariff growth vs incomes69Utility network wear / heating failures60Power-sector accident rate (wear)50Daily grid power consumption (activity proxy)37

Finance & macro

Oil & gas budget revenue100Fixed-capital investment100Budget payouts to oil firms (damper + reverse excise)88Firms behind on taxes85VTB: share crash & marketplace ties83OFZ 10-year yield82Marketplace disruption (warehouse strikes)78OFZ placement-plan fulfillment74NWF liquid depletion pace73Marketplace market-cap crash73Banking/financial contagion (domino node)72Non-oil-and-gas deficit70MOEX index (IMOEX)69Liquid part of the NWF69Deficit: plan vs actual gap67Budget revenue-to-plan gap66Federal budget deficit (YTD)65Bad loans & over-indebtedness63Inter-firm non-payments & receivables63Business-activity index (RSBI/services PMI)62E-commerce logistics resilience61Subsidized-program burden58Bank lending to the economy56Money supply M255Corporate defaults / restructurings54Bank debt to CBR (repo auctions)53Outflow from banks (cash withdrawals)53CBR key rate46Interbank stress / RUONIA43Deposit-flight risk (latent)40Corporate bankruptcies count40Federal budget spending (annual)28Debt servicing (share of budget)26Russian state debt (federal)25Inflation (YoY)20CNY/RUB rate (CBR)18International reserves (accessible part)14USD/RUB rate (CBR)4Food inflation0

Foreign trade & sanctions

Lengthening cross-border payments73Shadow-fleet share of oil exports73Dependence on yuan/China settlements66Third-country bank payment refusals65Tighter export controls (dual-use)65Current-account balance63Stuck export revenue (rupees/yuan)61Seaborne crude exports to China (ESPO)60New sanctions packages/listings60Parallel-import markup/failures58Re-export via Turkey/Central Asia58Imports from China (mirror stats)57Trade concentration on China56Urals-to-Brent discount47Competition for China's oil market (Africa/Brazil vs Russia)40Net capital outflow13Non-energy non-commodity exports7ESPO-to-Brent discount1Brent crude0Urals crude (with discount)0Urals tax price (MinEcon)0Russian crude price to China (ESPO)0Revenue from crude to China (ESPO)0Fossil-fuel export revenue (weekly)0

Military capacity

Security bloc share of spending84Confirmed irrecoverable personnel losses75Soviet armor stockpile remaining74Territorial change (DeepState)74New tank output vs losses70Artillery-barrel storage remaining67Total recruitment & payout spending63Defense-industry bottlenecks62Ammunition supply (incl. DPRK/Iran)60Precision-missile output (chip shortage)60Contract sign-up payments (median)56Recruitment vs losses gap50Aviation losses vs replacement42

Society, regions, demography

Labor shortage82Share of regions in deficit70Skilled-worker outflow (cumulative)67Birth rate67Mobile-internet shutdowns67Excess mortality (combat + indirect)60Infrastructure accident rate (grid, utilities)60Deficit of draft/working-age men58Household debt burden / arrears58Natural population decline58Level of repression (tension proxy)57Organised domestic tour sales55Migration tension / labor gap55Runet degradation (blocks, throttling)54Wage delays / utility debts in regions53Signs of elite fracture35Overdue wage arrears28Protest / strike activity25Real disposable incomes0

Construction & real estate

Housing commissioning (YoY)100Mortgage issuance (YoY)77Unsold new-build inventory73Developer financial distress58Commercial real estate54Cement demand & output52
Note. Values of manual indicators are the authors' expert estimates from the listed open sources, not measured figures; weights and scale calibration are subjective and open to revision. Automated market series come from public APIs. A prototype, not investment or political advice.
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